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Israel wants to change the balance of power in the Middle East. History has a warning
The desire for any state to significantly shift the balance of power in a region presents a number of challenges and potential risks, as history indeed warns. For example, in the 20th century, when any major power attempted to disrupt the balance of power, it often led to substantial conflict, such as the world wars.
For Israel, the Middle East is an especially complex region filled with various religious, geo-political, and cultural rivalries and alliances. History shows that attempts to change balance of power there can lead to long-lasting conflicts, wars, and humanitarian crises, as evident by the Iran-Iraq war, the Lebanese Civil War, and other conflicts in the region.
Attempting to shift the balance of power can also result in unintended alliances between otherwise rival nations. For example, during the Cold War, the Soviet Union’s attempts to leverage power in the Middle East led to unlikely partnerships among western-aligned states. The same circumstance could potentially occur if Israel made efforts to drastically change the balance of power, uniting otherwise adversarial countries against them.
Moreover, it’s important to note that doing so can potentially isolate Israel on the global stage. For many nations, stability is a key factor in establishing and maintaining diplomatic relationships and alliances. Major changes to existing power structures could lead to unpredictability and instability, which most states would rather avoid.
Finally, history consistently indicates that any such efforts require vast resources – economically, politically, and in terms of human lives. The costs can be steep and take decades,